Wednesday, November 23, 2016

Hacking the Election?

There is some evidence, not at all conclusive yet, that some hacking might have influenced the election results.  It is something that should be looked into, even if it isn't used to challenge the current results.

As I understand it, analysis shows that where electronic voting machines were used in some critical states, the number of votes were 7% less than expected by statistics.

http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/activists-urge-clinton-campaign-to-challenge-election-results-in-3-swing-states/ar-AAkD4w7?ocid=iSEM_G_Homepage

It s very hard to cast fraudulent ballots despite all the hoopla about it, but it would be a fairly easy hack to just have the machine under count.  It wouldn't even have to do it based on who was voted for if the districts involved were heavily in favor of one of the candidates.

So if a district is expected t favor one candidate by say a 7 to 3 margin, every 10 votes suppressed favors the candidate with the 3 votes since losing 3 votes is bad but losing 7 votes is worse.

Suppose 100,000 votes were suppressed in a place like Philadelphia where the voters were going 85% for Hillary.  She would lose 85,000 votes and Trump would lose 15,000 or a 70,000 vote swing in his favor.  Since Pennsylvania was decided by less than 70,000 votes you can see how this would be significant.

Now the evidence as I understand it is statistical in nature and while statistics can highlight areas of concern, they are never in and of themselves conclusive.  I don't know what would need to be done to determine if the potential hack is real, and it would obviously be a very disruptive event.  I would think that at the very least we need to know if it happened to prevent it from happening in the future.

Now my information on this is admittedly very limited.  I also don't think that at this stage the results will be challenged since I think it is unlikely to change the results and would be painful and disruptive.

I think what is important is that any such potential hack be prevented from future elections.

Would wonder if it also could have impacted Senate races.

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