Wednesday, September 25, 2019

Now What?

The question of guilt or innocence is almost irrelevant to the impeachment proceedings.  He clearly is guilty of what he is being charged with, but can he be convicted?

We already know that it is more likely to be determined based on politics rather than guilt or innocence.

The real jury is the American public since most politicians are concerned with getting reelected.

In the House, with a Democratic majority there is some possibility that articles of Impeachment might actually pass.

The Democrats constitute the majority required and assuming the facts are as obvious as they seem it should be a fairly simple matter.

The problem will be when it goes to the Senate.

This is the actual trial and at the end of it two thirds of the Senators have to vote to impeach.

This seems extremely unlikely, unless of course the proceedings lead to a public outcry demanding action.

So the goal has to be to get the public convinced, beyond reasonable doubt, that he President has committed crimes that deserve removal.

Some of the crimes are not likely to be convincing, especially to his base.  Making the case will be a difficult thing indeed.

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