What Now?

Whether the decision to withdraw from the Iranian nuclear deal has significant repercussions or not is now in the hands of the rest of the world.

It is also not clear if it will cause Iran to resume its nuclear weapons program.

It certainly makes it more likely but it is by no means certain.

This type of approach, playing hardball and demanding concessions without offsetting offers is favored by groups that generally ignore the fact that the United States, as influential as it is, is not the only player in these things.

Clearly our influence is greater when we have world public opinion with us, which in this case we clearly don't.

Iran is a large country ruled by clerics ultimately which isn't necessarily persuaded by economic or political interests.

There hard liners are opposed to dealing with the Western Devils and we just gave them a big boost by going back on our word.

Will this eventually lead to a better agreement?

I tend to doubt that, but the world is somewhat unpredictable.

As unlikely as it seems, Iran has an economic mess that is leading to a degree of unrest that could lead to regime change.

That change could however be to a hard line government with no desire to deal with us.

Does the deal put us in danger?

Not directly, except of course that Iran may finance more terrorist groups.

It may increase risk in Israel which is obviously in a much more vulnerable place.

The fallout will happen and the only thing certain is that it helps Russia and China become more influential in the region as Iran reacts.

What Europe does will be decisive.