The latest silly lawsuit trying to overturn the election makes some of the silliest claims. While anything is possible, the probability of success is very low.
Of course probability is a predictive function, not a determining one. So we all know the polls get things wrong. That's because they are based on probability. Any prediction cannot compete with actual reality.
There are claims going around the Internet about how improbable Biden's win was after the first days of in-person voting. The numbers are wrong but either way are meaningless.
The chances of winning the lottery for any one person are astronomical, but someone does win. Both are correct and unrelated.
Still the math of that probability calculation is very wrong because the assumptions aren't sound. Its a bit like observing the breakfast hour at McDonalds and predicting what products would sell the most at the end of the day. Burger would be come out ahead, not matter the early results.
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